- Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 1 May
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 2 Preview: 30 April 2019
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 1 Preview: 30 April 2019
Track: Good 4
Rail: True entire
Weather: Mostly sunny, chance of 1-5mm rain Friday
A whopping 152 acceptors for the Bendigo standalone Saturday meeting, with the features being the Golden Mile and Guineas late in the program. The track is typically pretty fair and no different is expected here.
Speed map/race shape: As will be the case today, big fields typically bring decent pressure and tempo to the race. Blue Tycoon and Won Ball will be urged to cross from wide, while Lucky Fish and Sunday Pray from low draws can try and kick up. Beauty will get a gun run.
Advantaged runners: MANDELA EFFECT brings the best credentials on paper, with seven wins from 13 starts, including over Streets Of Avalon last year. He possesses a big finish but could find himself a long way back, which hands a big advantage to BEAUTY. She’s on the way up and is ready to win after two good efforts at Flemington this time in work. Both SUNDAY PRAY and STREET SHEIK finished second in their respective races last time out and the form has been subsequently franked. The former’s racing pattern gives him the edge.
Speed map/race shape: A handful of these like to lead and there may be some early jostling for position. Think Music, Awaytoff and Transact have all drawn the lower half and should fight for the lead amongst themselves, with Budd Fox and Southern Yankee slotting in.
Advantaged runners: Three-year-olds only tackling the staying trip here in the second. SECRET BLAZE and SOUTHERN YANKEE come through the Alister Clark. Secret Blaze was clearly the better run but got things his own way from barrier one – he’ll need a peach from Currie after drawing 15 here. There’s plenty of early value about MINER’S MISS who is first up but was last seen running third in the Oaks, the quinella there are tackling a Group 1 on Saturday. TRANSACT was unlucky in the Geelong Classic in the Spring and arrives here third up and ready to win.
Speed map/race shape: There’s up to six debutants here, but four of those are emergencies. Invincible Lotus has the most speed of what we’ve seen and from the low draw he can kick up to hold out Sisstar and Prince Of Sussex.
Advantaged runners: The form around MOCKERY makes her a key contender. She beat Cheer Leader up the Flemington straight, and he bolted in last Friday night at The Valley. The filly maps for a cold run behind the leaders. GROOT will need a special from Meech to find cover early but his debut run at Group 3 level frames him as a contender. SISSTAR was fancied on debut when finishing on the heels of Lankan Star, she’ll be making the running with INVINCIBLE LOTUS who may appreciate the step back in grade and distance.
Speed map/race shape: Seven Year Reward likes to lead and should do so from barrier one, but Carlingford, Huge Action and/or Malahat drawn inside him may make him work. Easy Beast’s best chance of featuring is to cross from barrier 14 and join the leader.
Advantaged runners: Looking for a few of the runners from midfield to make the most of any early pressure. CREATIVITY resumes for a new trainer and typically sprints well fresh. She’ll be racing in company with YULONG YUHENG who has had his blow out run and is ready to show his UK form. BEL SONIC may even spot them a start but his run in the Hareeba showed he’s threatening to win soon. They’ll all need to catch SEVEN YEAR REWARD who will try and make all with just 52kgs after the claim.
Speed map/race shape: Truly Discreet is expected to settle much closer than last start, but it is unlikely she has the speed to pinch the lead from Miss Siska. Twitchy Frank and River Jewel shouldn’t need to work too hard to slide across into forward positions either.
Advantaged runners: The class of the field is LA BELLA DIOSA who can springboard off a great run in a sizzling Sydney race. The step to 1400m gives her extra time to wind up from the read and reel in the other favoured runners on speed. Most prominent of those is MISS SISKA who resumes here. She stretched out to 2000m at Group 2 level last prep. TWITCHY FRANK is another racing well and appears to be enjoying life in Tasmania. RIVER JEWEL can give a sight stepping up in grade.
Speed map/race shape: Genuine tempo expected in the BM84 stayers event. Sirkos and Tiffany’s Lass both led over 1600m last start, but it is unlikely the gostly grey Valac will have any interest in allowing them a soft time in front. Instigator and Rockarral head up the rest.
Advantaged runners: If BELGRAVIA turns up ready to go, he has the number to win this race. He’s third up and was most recently seen running on against the pattern over the Flemington 2000m. He may slot into a three-wide line in this, as may MOSH MUSIC. The mare has won four from five this prep but probably should be unbeaten and has already shown the trip is no issue. The Waller pair DARK PEARL and DESERT PATH both have good numbers but have also both drawn awkwardly and may end up a fair way back. They’ll spot a start to VALAC and ROCKARRAL who are racing in good heart.
Speed map/race shape: The Golden Mile should be a genuinely run affair, courtesy of the wide draws held by front-runners Lite’n in My Veins and Dodging Bullets. This may present Furrion with an opportunity to get the cart across into a prime position.
Advantaged runners: If the above scenario plays out, then FURRION appears awfully hard to beat here. He presents second up off a promising run at Flemington and appears perfectly placed to extend his unbeaten second up record. The first furlong holds the key. Should things not pan out that way, runners such as SILENTZ and ZEBULON may be best placed to run on from midfield and beyond from wider draws. Their form lines up with the likes of PLEIN CIEL, MANTASTIC and VIOLATE but they may be buried in the pack and need the seas to part turning for home. Don’t dismiss Morton’s Fork back on drier ground either.
Speed map/race shape: Outrageous was a surprise leader at Flemington but its unlikely he has the speed to cross Pickup The Pieces drawn inside him. There’s a host of horses who enjoy racing handily, including Mystery Love, Scottish Rogue and Muswellbrook.
Advantaged runners: Fairly even race with many chances. OUTRAGEOUS beat a smart one at Flemington but won’t get to stack them up at a walk here. Regardless, he’ll be handy and many of the main hopes will have to get past him. SCOTTISH ROGUE ran on against the pattern in that race and could potentially get Outrageous’ back here. From a similar position in running SACCHARO can make an impact if he replicated his Spring form – he was beaten at odds on first up this prep. With luck from a wide draw MARCEL FROM MADRID should be running on into the finish, he’s desperate for this trip after chasing home Anjana twice this prep. Chances also to the improving MYSTERY LOVE, BLINDER and MUSWELLBROOK first up.
Speed map/race shape: A few candidates to lead again in the last on the card, most notably Al Passem, Critical Thinking and Simply Invincible. There should be an opportunity for Kazio, Fox Hall and Malaise to slot into advantaged positions from wider draws.
Advantaged runners: He had too much to do against the pattern of the day at Flemington but ANTAH should get the chance to run on from the second half and into the money here. He chased home SIMPLY INVINCIBLE that day who sat outside a hot-pot leader and wore him down, the race rated highly. WAGING WAR will also be running on, his last start was shrouded in protest controversy but the performance was great regardless. SUPER TITUS is first up in Australia and crunched early in betting, his best form is over much further though. The blowout hope is MAN OF HIS WORD back from the All Star Mile!