- Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 1 May
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 2 Preview: 30 April 2019
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 1 Preview: 30 April 2019
Track: Soft 6
Rail: +3m entire
Wednesday racing on the Randwick Kenso, an entrée to Saturday’s main event on the big track. We’re preparing for the surface to remain in the Soft range, while this track typically has a slight leaning towards on-pace/rails in run but nothing extravagant.
Speed map/race shape: The early speed looks to come from Devachan who will look to emulate what she did on debut by crossing from wide to lead them up.
Advantaged runners: Six of ten babies on debut here. The most impressive of those at the trials has been DEEP SEA – twice running second, most recently behind Lyre. She’ll be setting out after DEVACHAN who went down at odds on at her only start, she’ll be better for the outing. The Snowdens had a throw at the stumps with FAMOUS on debut in the Pago Pago, that didn’t work out but the track was bottomless and this assignment is far more suitable.
Speed map/race shape: Geissler and Georgina Gold both have the potential speed to lead and should be able to take this up from Haunting Spirit and Word For Word.
Advantaged runners: No debutants! PINUP MISS was the best of the off-speed runners when chasing home Fasika on debut. She’s won again at BM70 grade so the form stacks up. DISCO MO is one of three runners for Anthony Cummings and looks his best hope, he was stuck in the quicksand on debut. HAUNTING SPIRIT also endured a torrid run on a biased track at Goulburn and can improve with a soft inside suck run, while WORD FOR WORD has claims based on his most recent effort behind Cossetot in January.
Speed map/race shape: Just eight acceptors but a good deal of speed in the race regardless. Goldfinch and Consider It Done may just have too much toe for Mossman Gorge and Puppet Master. This makes things much easier for The Tenor to slot in midfield from the wide draw.
Advantaged runners: GOLDFINCH is an excellent fresh sprinting mare, the problem here is how much pressure she’ll need to absorb. Interesting to note that she’s won five times but never carried more than 56.5kgs. Regardless, we’re anticipating they all take each other on and set it up for run on horses like THE TENOR who had too much to do first up. His record suggests he will appreciate the sting out, as did TRAUMATISED when beating CONSIDER IT DONE convincingly at Hawkesbury. There’s a similar race shape on the cards here. This is a step up for NOVEMBER MAN but it is hard to ignore the way he won at Goulburn.
Speed map/race shape: A couple of the speedier fillies in Dame Kiri and Galway Girl can take up this 1400m affair and settle into a nice rhythm quickly. Perhaps Zourhea and Red Chandelier can settle behind them but there’s not a lot of speed to challenge the leaders.
Advantaged runners: There’s a lot to like about DAME KIRI and she looks beautifully placed in her first city assignment. She demonstrates excellent racing manners and put them away in professional style at Newcastle last start – she gets the chance to control the race up in trip. GALWAY GIRL has similar characteristics but perhaps isn’t quite as appealing here. SURE KNEE has two city wins to her name and mingled in reasonable company, ZOURHEA drops back to a much suitable assignment and gets an ideal run, as does RED CHANDELIER.
Speed map/race shape: The tempo will depend on emergency Regal Stage gaining a start. If he does, he and Quick Finance will go forward and attempt to cross Budderoo Knight kicking up on the rails. That will allow Common Purpose a cart across to join Vedder in the trail.
Advantaged runners: Many punters will allow the lightly-raced VEDDER one more chance after being burned twice this prep. He gets plenty of favours here behind the solid tempo, as does COMMON PURPOSE. He missed a run when scratched recently but only needs a slice of luck slotting in early to contend. REGAL STAGE is rock hard fit but still only in his first prep – if he isn’t made to work too hard early he’ll take catching. Of those running on from midfield and beyond, COLOMBINA and THE LION are the major contenders, but there’s a handful of others with hopes as well.
Speed map/race shape: Despite the big field, we expect this lot to find their positions in running fairly easily. King Tomlola is a noted leader and we may see Fireman Sam I am up there with him. Each of Braces, Smart As You Think, Foreign Territory and Righteousness can be handy – the latter two are listed as emergencies and may not run.
Advantaged runners: Capacity field of 11 plus six emergencies for the 1800m event. KING TOMLOLA overdid it on the Heavy in Saturday grade last time but this race is far more suitable. It is a similar story for SMART AS YOU THINK who did it tough in the Epona. They look the major on-pace contenders and will be in the sights of BOOMTOWN RAT (3rd 0.7L to BRACES last start) and SCREAMARR (backing up from last Wednesday) running on from the back. FOREIGN TERRITORY deserves respect returning to the scene of his last win.
Speed map/race shape: Reasonable pressure at the pointy end here but it all comes from the low draws. Catmosphere can lead from Restrained, while Calculated, Coterie and Quackerjack should all be handy.
Advantaged runners: This is RESTRAINED’s biggest test to date, but he looks ready to tackle city company. The Lohnro gelding is unbeaten in three provincial starts and will be prominent throughout. So too will COTERIE who was inexplicably poor in the Canberra Guineas. Forgiving that run, she brings arguably the best form to this race. PUMPKIN PIE returns from a short spell and the stable is humming at present, QUACKERJACK is better over further but should get a few favours from the inside alley and GRIMOIRE brings a last start win at this level and a close recent second to Tonsor to the equation.
Speed map/race shape: Like in Race 5, Regal Stage is an emergency – he’ll lead if he’s here with Full Recognition for company. The majority of the outer half have early decisions to make – expect Nacho Libre, Agassi and Lord Heron to be the most aggressively ridden.
Advantaged runners: FULL RECOGNITION chased home Classique Legend and Green Aeon at his first two starts, then mauled a provincial field to break his maiden. He’s got ability and can be prominent throughout here, but won’t want to get caught jostling with REGAL STAGE early. There’s a bit to like about the closers if the pattern allows it. LIGULATE is fit and found his range this prep, QUADRIGA was in the wrong part of the track last time and NIGHT FALLS must be watched closely as another ex-Weir runner.