- Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 1 May
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 2 Preview: 30 April 2019
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 1 Preview: 30 April 2019
Track: Soft 6
Weather: Possible Tuesday thunderstorm, fine Wednesday race day
The threat of a brief Tuesday storm means Gosford looks set to stay in the Soft range for its metropolitan Wednesday meeting. With the rail in the true position, expect the track to favour runners away from the rail.
Speed map/race shape: Small field in the opener. Amami should roll to the front comfortably and lead from Anachrondite, doubt they’ll overdo it.
Advantaged runners: The Waller trio look like being prominent here. AURMAN ZOU gets a 3.5kg weight swing over ANACHRONDITE for finishing less than a length apart last time. But the former may get bottled up on the rail here, so a slight advantage to the latter in the small field. The stable’s third runner BANTEUX finished 2.5L behind Aramayo second up last prep which is good form for this. FLYING LEGEND has been freshened since a forgivable run behind Amangiri and should lob in the ‘one-one’ prime striking position.
Speed map/race shape: Big field for the two-year-old sprint. Of the known runners Apicus (em), Iskander and Our Girl Snitti have shown the most speed to date, but this race looks up for grabs if any of the leading contenders are given an assertive ride.
Advantaged runners: Five first starters here over 1200m. BADIA was superb behind a Stakes-placed filly second up and showed the wet was no concern. Godolphin + 2yo = yes right now! OUR GIRL SNITTI and ISKANDER defied their SPs to finish within 1.5 lengths of the leading pair there and will be prominent in the run. Badia’s stablemate JETSKI got close to Dresden Green/Killin next start, they went on to tackle Group 1 company the following start. Waller has three others in the race we’re yet to mention – the draw looks a little awkward for each of them.
Speed map/race shape: Koonunga draws widest and despite her early speed will probably sit outside Mollyfied in this field. If those two find their positions early, we may get a sit and sprint style affair for the mares.
Advantaged runners: The race shape above hands the ascendancy to the on-pacers – they also bring the best form. KOONUNGA has trialled twice since going down at odds on at Canterbury. She’s better than that and enjoys playing a prominent role in running. So too does Mollyfied who has been freshened nearly eight weeks for this outing, she won two on the bounce at this level by leading all the way prior. ALART drops in grade and Clenton’s claim eases part of the weight burden, she maps for the drop on the leaders, while each of STROME and ELLIE’S ENCORE also receive some slight class relief.
Speed map/race shape: Third straight 1200m event so we’ll have an idea of the pattern by now on raceday. This one is for three-year-olds only and Kylease has the most early dash, but there’s a handful keen to be prominent so expect solid tempo/pressure in run.
Advantaged runners: Joe Pride continues to space KYLEASE’s runs and she returns to Gosford fresh and looking for three straight wins. She absorbed plenty of pressure last time and still won. She also has both a fitness and speed map advantage over her major rivals. They include REGINAE, whose attempted return was aborted in January but does boast form through Mystic Journey last Spring, and REELEM IN RUBY, a city maiden winner. Neither UNGUARDED or BARE NAKED LADY can be dismissed at each-way odds either.
Speed map/race shape: One would assume Foreign Territory would roll to the front and dictate from the 1900m start. Makdanife, Scotti Be Gotti and Seababe should all be close by.
Advantaged runners: MAKDANIFE made FOREIGN TERRITORY work in the run at Hawkesbury – the former went on to win and the latter dropped out. Slight advantage to the latter today though, assuming the track isn’t in the Heavy range. But by rights both should be vulnerable to the colt MANGIONE, who finished a respectable five lengths off Derby winner Angel Of Truth in the G2 Tulloch Stakes. The inside draw isn’t as big a problem in the middle distance event if he races handy to the speed. Chances also to CAPE WICKHAM bouncing off a win and WINE BUSH going off his defeat of Taikomochi three back.
Speed map/race shape: Should be a genuinely run mile contest this. White Boots has the speed to lead, but Got Unders, Bastia and Hogmanay can all keep him company.
Advantaged runners: If we’re trusting our read of the track then HARMATTAN looms as a major contender. She’s been competitive on Group 3 mares company and now gets an ideal midfield run back in grade, giving her access to the best part of the track. The other one in that boat is INSENSATA who was on a hiding to nothing on a leader-biased track in the Emancipation, she was stakes competitive prior. They’ll be chasing WHITE BOOTS who lost no admirers when second best to Supernova, and BASTIA who finds another competitive affair after failing to qualify for the Provincial Championships Final.
Speed map/race shape: A few of the rougher chances might run this along, including Americana Magic, Gauguin and No Escape.
Advantaged runners: Gosford Guineas winner MILITARY ZONE returns to the scene of the crime. Ironically he sets up for an almost identical run from the latter half of the field. Would be surprised if he’s not wound up and ready to win after three March trials. WAGNER didn’t handle the Heavy track in the Darby Munro, he’ll be making a run with the favourite and attempting to emulate his powerful first up win. STAR OF MONSOON will try and get the jump on them but he’s no punters pal. PIRACY’s best efforts always come deeper into his prep so that’s a positive sign for today, he’ll need to be good to hold off the big guns.
Speed map/race shape: Lots of forward pressure here in the last Thinking Bella Vella leads with The Pharaoh, leaving Another Larga, Difficult To Get, Koonunga, Mr Grumpy, Queen Ablaze and Oriental Runner ALL looking for a handy sit.
Advantaged runners: This will be a charge of the light brigade. Josh Parr can win it with a brave ride on QUEEN ABLAZE, despite the inside barrier. He will need gaps to appear though. Of course, KOONUNGA is a chance but she looks an even better hope in Race 3 and I’d be shocked if she was here, despite the “better” barrier draw. ORIENTAL RUNNER brings good form but like all of these on pacers how hard will they go? It leaves us casting our eye to rougher hopes running on from the back like PRINCE MAYTED, who was far from disgraced at Eagle Farm, and BRAVISSIMO, who may be contend with a three-wide trail today.