- Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 1 May
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 2 Preview: 30 April 2019
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 1 Preview: 30 April 2019
Track: Soft 5 (Tuesday)
Rail: True Entire
Back to the Hillside after many weeks on the Lakeside track. With improving weather in Melbourne we should be in the Good range by race day. No notably historical bias for this configuration but pay attention to any information put out by the club re irrigation etc.
Speed map/race shape: Hard to get a true handle on a ‘map’ given the unknowns here. Note the 1000m track is the unique dog leg shape. Exposed runners Judgement and Bush Christmas can go forward, while Magnicity has potential to be more prominent.
Advantaged runners: We’ve only ever seen four of the 12 on race day before. Of the raced, JUDGEMENT has the best prior performance over 1000m. But the newcomers look to have some talent. FLIRTING is one of Anthony Freedman’s Godolphin crop, both he and the main camp are running hot with two-year-olds. She comes through a good trial too. CILIATA also comes through a stable that is making waves from its new Victorian set up but gets an awkward draw, while we can respect KOOWEERUP as well. Watch the market!
Speed map/race shape: Fairly moderate tempo over the 1400m, with Lady Lupino the only designated leader. Mozella could go forward and Chenier won’t be far away.
Advantaged runners: Well CHENIER has come up $1.45 early and this is a Group 1 trial for him. He was spectacular in his 5.5L debut romp and Kerrin McEvoy is down from Sydney to ride, with a view of taking on the Champagne Stakes 10 days later. He should settle off from fence and it will take a good one to stop him. MOZELLA and WALKING FLYING come out of his debut run and both have place claims in this. STAREDOWN was deemed good enough to debut in the Sires and SURREAL STEP comes out of a hot race.
Speed map/race shape: Big field of 16 to jump from the 1300m starting point. Good tempo expected with Do You Reckon, Gaelic Dream, Grand Bernini and I Am The Dark all prominent in the early stages, there’s a handful of others that will be right up there too.
Advantaged runners: MUSIC BAY is on notice, she was rolled at $1.40 first up and then couldn’t get past Tahitian Dancer (that’s forgivable) second up. Regardless, this race sets up extremely well for her and she is going to go around pretty short again here. With the right run trailing the early speed she should be too good. SEARCH SQUAD and LECTURE did the most work in running last start and ran the quinella, while MERCY STREET was a gritty first up winner. All go in as knockout hopes if the favourite stumbles.
Speed map/race shape: Another big field and above average tempo over 1300m. This should be set up by the likes of Jentico, Lady Loft, Our Sea Goddess and Sensation Ally, with Dancing Tycoon and Miss Adequate not far behind either.
Advantaged runners: A host of chances, but looking specifically at those that would enjoy the tempo. MRS O’MALLEY is one of them, but she isn’t a super high percentage play given her likely settling position at the rear on the fence. CASH AFFAIR may end up back there with her if he’s run off his feet early, but has the grounding to run a strong 1300m. DANCING TYCOON put in a flat run last time but may enjoy the possibility of a little cover in this. There’s no Tahitian Dancer for GHEEDAA to contend with today. MISS ADEQUATE has been freshened and dropped back in trip after a poor run but needs luck from the gate.
Speed map/race shape: Kevikki, Maddison Avenue and Winkelmann are the designated leaders from the mile start. There’s plenty of time for them to idle to the front down the back straight too, so don’t expect a great deal of pressure.
Advantaged runners: Wide open fillies and mares race to kick off the quaddie. KEVIKKI comes through the Alexandra Stakes, that was a complete write off for her. She gets the favours in front. HOKKAIDO MISS was superb first up at the Lakeside track against the pattern, as was MUSIC OF THE NIGHT, the Hillside suits both better. LIMESHOW was superb first up and quickly to 1600m, she’ll be running on with WOMAN who may end up being slightly overbet. PLAY THAT SONG and INDIANA LILY aren’t without hopes. Good race.
Speed map/race shape: Not as much natural pace here and you’d expect they settle into formation quickly. Sentimentalist and Gretzky should roll forward and lead from Heir To The Throne and Blinder settling in behind from low draws.
Advantaged runners: The runners in the first four might be hard to overhaul here. HEIR TO THE THRONE looks well in despite the weight, he was excellent against the pattern chasing home Won Ball first up – that horse has won again since. He’s also handled second up 1600m before and gets a cosy run. So too does BLINDER who had his momentum halted at a crucial stage in the Bendigo Guineas. He gives weight to the older horses but has talent. GRETZKY began awkwardly at Pakenham and that was costly, but so is he with just one win from 15. Keep an eye on ACCREDITATION and DINNER LAKE as blowout hopes running on.
Speed map/race shape: A few speedy ones in the 1000m dash – Big Reel and Written Choice probably have enough pace to force The Centaurian to take a sit. Only a field of eight in this.
Advantaged runners: Momentum is sometimes everything over this track and distance. WRITTEN CHOICE will be free-rolling towards the front in his first up assignment. He won his last two at this level before progressing to Listed company. Likewise, THE CENTAURIAN will race handily and added to his excellent fresh record at Mornintgon. The 3kg claim helps him out here. From the back, JOSEPHINE SEA produced one of her better performances to blow away a lesser field at Mornington, her best efforts come fresh so she may have one more in her. KYZAMBA is not to be left out but is yet to make an impact at this level.
Speed map/race shape: A big field tackles the last over 1800m. Silent Roar should have it her own way in front, with All Too Huying for company. The likes of A Shin Rook, Admiral’s Joker, Barry The Baptist and Main Stage should all settle forward of midfield.
Advantaged runners: This is a step up for SILENT ROAR but she looks a leading hope nonetheless. The progressive mare won like a good thing under minimal pressure second up and will look to emulate that here stretching to 1800m. MAIN STAGE is a big danger. He raced upside down in an attempt to counter the bias at Rosehill and knocked up, he drops sharply in grade and is very fit. A SHIN ROOK went close in the CS Hayes and could settle closer, possibly leader’s back, in this. He has won in similar grade before. Kerrin rides LYNCH MOB for Unlcle Tony, his picket fence was only broken by a live Oaks contender, so has real claims. He’s the one if they’re making ground from the back.