- Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 1 May
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 2 Preview: 30 April 2019
- Warrnambool Carnival, Day 1 Preview: 30 April 2019
Track: Good 4
Rail: False Outside Rail W/Post-1666 Chute; 4m 1650-300; 2m Remainder.
Weather: Mostly fine, possible light race day shower
A midweek card at Ipswich where we expect the track to dry into the Good range by Wednesday. A complex rail position as they try and avoid some of the dodgy spots that have caused recent havoc, so treat this card with caution.
Speed map/race shape: Morgause can roll to a comfortable lead in a fairly below-average tempo from the 1200m start.
Advantaged runners: A relatively ordinary maiden to start the day. ROYAL FACTOR wasn’t bad on debut in October and first/second over the line have won again. From a handy position in run he will go close. A LITTLE CRAFTY is only lightly raced and can use the low draw to advantage, while BRAHMA AMOUR backs up after being ‘best of the rest’ behind VEGA ONE last week.
Speed map/race shape: Perhaps some early argy-bargy for the lead with Lady Belzone, Moa’s Girl and Ruella all keen to race handy. The first starters also have some speed too.
Advantaged runners: Three of ten 2yo fillies making their debut. REEF BUG arrives for her first start off two recent trials, the latest a victorious one. She and fellow debutant PURRONI bring attractive breeding credentials to the table and can hit the ground running. Of the raced, HOWITZER is building towards a win, RUELLA was beaten by a good one last time out and LADY BELZONE will appreciate the extra distance today.
Speed map/race shape: Embattled knows one way and will look to take up the running again, expect Kalik to go forward with him and ensure a decent gallop.
Advantaged runners: Colts division of the 1200m 2yo maidens, with two on debut. EMBATTLED has had a few goes and puts himself up the pointy end each time. KALIK put in a poor showing on debut but bounced back in a recent trial. STAR CENTRE will be back in the run but is ready to do something third up and the form through Miss Cavallo reads well. Keen to see how the market reacts to the return of SCOUT from the Edmonds camp.
Speed map/race shape: Westrock only knows one way but will have company with each of Foxy Affair, So You Wish and Starkers going forward to ensure a genuinely run 1680m.
Advantaged runners: It looks like Rob Heathcote has found the secret to FOXY AFFAIR who is racing in great heart this prep. He’s racing on the pace these days and has matched it with the likes of recent Saturday winners Cymbalism and Reiby The Red, a win is around the corner. Expect improvement from SO YOU WISH who comes through similar form lines and typically needs a couple of runs to show his best. The Waller pair of TIVOLI STREET and SEAHAMPTON will be looking to come over the top of them, advantage to the latter who is much better than her last start would suggest.
Speed map/race shape: Good speed over the 1200m courtesy of American Genius, Mr Strachan and Rich Affair all pressing on.
Advantaged runners: The likely tempo provides a few of these with an ideal platform to sprint over the top in the straight. QIJI PHOENIX should in theory be a major beneficiary but he’ll need to show his first up failure was an anomaly. He’s acquitted himself in better company before. ELUSIVE MELODY is the mare in form, winning three on the bounce since her Queensland sea change, this is her hardest test though. The conditions also suit QUICK KETCH. They’ll all have to get past MR STRACHAN who was too fast for his rivals first up. Look for MR CONSTANTINE late with an eye to his future starts.
Speed map/race shape: A dash for the fillies and mares set up by wide-drawn pace-setters Bella Occhi and King’s Lady. Sailor Gerry can poke up and be handy as well.
Advantaged runners: No doubt these leaders will really run this along and give a horse like LADY I AM her chance. The former Sydneysider didn’t come up last prep down South but her prior best would be very competitive here. BIMINI ROAD’s form through Splitter looks good, the market will tell the story of whether she’s ready to go here off a freshen up. CLOCKWISE has lost her since producing excellent two-year-old form, is another market watch. Don’t discount SAILOR GERRI either although the big weight isn’t ideal, while BELLA OCCHI will need a breather in the run at some stage to hold on you feel.
Speed map/race shape: Good speed in the male division here courtesy of Chikorita, Don’t You Know Him and The Big House from out wide, with For The Records kicking on the rails underneath them.
Advantaged runners: Tough race. Looking at the three-year-old HARDLY TOUCHED to camp just off the speed and build on his second up win. He beat home FOR THE RECORDS who did it tough and battled away well considering the run in transit, he gets the inside draw here. IL RICCIO was run off his feet last start by Want To Bolt but he was ‘best of the rest’ and that form looks pretty good after Saturday. The on-pacers THE BIG HOUSE and DON’T YOU KNOW HIM aren’t without hope – the former is an intriguing runner back 250m in trip here.
Speed map/race shape: The day’s only 1350m event out of the long chute comes in the last. Fanx, Miss Amanda and Zilitor should be among those to race forward in an even gallop.
Advantaged runners: FANX will be up there throughout and is ready to win third up, this distance is right in his wheelhouse. He had the better of ANIMAL INSTINCT last time out, that galloper is also third up and typically needs a couple of runs to find his best. He maps for a delightful trail off the leaders. MISS AMANDA can be forgiven her disappointing efforts on Heavy ground recently and has major claims from a similarly helpful on-pace run, no knock ZILITOR from on the speed as well. BEIDI is the big watch, he gets Waller’s ‘golden switch’ to Queensland today.