Warwick Farm Preview: Wednesday 17 April

WARWICK FARM

Track: Soft 5 (Monday)

Rail: +5m 1000m to WP, +3m Remainder

Weather: Fine

Back to Warwick Farm for this Wednesday’s meeting and we’ll be flirting with a return to a Good track on race day. We expect on-pace to be a slight advantage throughout the day, especially with the improving going under foot.

RACE 1

Speed map/race shape: Just the one debutant in the 3yo Maiden in Nowyunomi from the Waterhouse/Bott yard, he’s shown speed in trials and go forward along with Scepter Of Power and Task And Purpose, leaving Souologist to assume a handy trail.

Advantaged runners: From a good position in the run ZOUOLOGIST should get his chance to break his maiden. He was last seen going down at odds on in December after a tough run before being tipped out for a spell. LES AMOREUX beat him home that day and had three more goes at breaking the maiden without luck. His form lines tie in with TASK AND PURPOSE but he’s had a fair few goes now. Respect SCEPTER OF POWER first up and NWOWYUNOMI on debut who will give themselves a hope on the pace.

RACE 2

Speed map/race shape: Not much natural speed here except of course for Erno, a bold all-the-way winner on debut. He should get things his own way in front here.

Advantaged runners: Just one debutant and only two previous winners in the 2yo Handicap. ERNO’s debut victory on his home track in the wet was another big tick for the Rubick progeny. The Warwick Farm layout should suit. But there’s a number with a chance to upset the heavy favourite. CHABROL drops sharply in class after not handling the Heavy at Group 3 level, the extra trip should suit ESCONDIDO third up, debutant SEA OF LIFE has trialled stylishly and both ANTONIO PADRE and PERALTA look well prepared for their return.

RACE 3

Speed map/race shape: Only a small field for the BM70 sprint. The speed comes from the wider runners with Invictus Salute and Let Me Sleep On It looking to go forward from Belladeel and the Ronstar from a lower draw. They might inject a bit of tempo into this one.

Advantaged runners: Despite the small field this is a pretty handy race. INVICTUS SALUTE drops back from Group 3 company to midweek grade with a solid fitness base. She’ll make the running with LET ME SLEEP ON IT who was last seen running second to Lean Mean Machine at the trials to prepare for this first up test. Also resuming is BELLADEEL, previously unseen below 1400m so today’s 1100m is a query. RONSTAR has two preps under his belt and it would be no shock to see him enjoy a cold run and power past them in the straight, he does have a big weight though. The 30-start 4yo STONE COLD is far from hopeless.

RACE 4

Speed map/race shape: The pace in the 2200m event comes from the inside with Plymouth Road and Free Fly Too the likely leaders, from Heartlet and My Psychiatrist in even tempo.

Advantaged runners: There’s a sense of timing about BAJAN GOLD. He’s in his first Australian preparation, fourth up and retains his association with jockey McEvoy. He can settle midfield stepping up to this trip after closing nicely late at 1800m last start, finishing alongside SCREAMARR. Bajan’s stablemate JAKE’S HILL is also third up, he doesn’t win out of turn but did accelerate into the race nicely last start when just failing to run down FREE FLY TOO, who has been up and going for a while now. HEARTLET quickly gets to a staying trip third up and could prove tough to catch if she can sprint well on the turn.

RACE 5

Speed map/race shape: Good speed here set up primarily by Anna’s Joy and Vontaine, who can take it up from a host of runners eager to be handy.

Advantaged runners: An intriguing affair, with a number of first and second up runners dominating the early markets. ECHO JET resumed after nearly 15 months off the scene with a smart on-pace win at this track and trip, with NICCO LAD finishing close up in a blanket go for the minors. Both efforts were full of merit but they may still not be a good enough grounding to hold out REELEM IN RUBY first up, who split Zousain and Shoals in a recent trial. Her last race day effort was a third to Zalatte and Baller and she appears to have come on from that well. VONTAINE was a live chance in the Queensland Guineas before a spell and the stable is flying, it is just a matter of how much work she does in the run. GRIMOIRE has the fitness edge over his rivals and has been handling the wet of late.

RACE 6

Speed map/race shape: With a big long run to the only turn, you wouldn’t expect too much speed on here over 1300m. Art Of Dance looks the leader from Red Chandelier, giving Bid’n’bare and Regine the chance to settle handily.

Advantaged runners: An open and tricky race to sort out with a host of chances. PERFECT PITCH gives away weight to the older mares but presents ideally third up after chasing home Green Aeon and Kylease this prep. She could be hard to hold out if settling midfield or even further forward. The settling position is the only real query on LUCKY HELMET from the low draw, she took plenty of ground off Fasika first up. RED CHANDELIER is the fit mare who kept kicking last time on the Kenso track and will be up there once again. BUCKLE UP BABY drops sharply in class and can improve, while there’s a big watch on former Kiwis AUSTRIA (Waller) and HIGH SHINE (Sargent), both first up here under the same ownership.

RACE 7

Speed map/race shape: A few leaders in this pack, headlined by the Waterhouse/Bott pair Sondelon and Wolfe, while Mustafa and Smiling Manolito will also race forward. Expect this to be a solidly run 1600m.

Advantaged runners: Willing to forgive SONDELON his Muswellbrook Cup ‘failure’. He was a month between runs and got stuck in the worst ground in the straight after trailing a tiring leader. There’s a big jockey change today with Tim Clark (28% ROI this stable last 12 months) on. Take notice of any betting moves on the stablemate WOLFE first up with the blinkers on at the mile. If they overdo it in front then GOLD MAG could swoop on by, his first Sydney start was a success at this track and trip and he’s still only lightly raced. PUMPKIN PIE chased home a good one first up and jumps sharply to the mile here. BRACES has found a new lease on life lately so can’t be left out, nor SEMPER FIDELIS second up.

RACE 8

Speed map/race shape: Mushaireb led at his only Australian start but now switches camps and the blinkers come off, leaving us to assume Somethingvain could come across from wide and take it up over Cuban Royale, Cloak and Restrained.

Advantaged runners: He gives weight away to the older horses and draws the carpark, but RESTRAINED looks like a horse on an upward spiral. The wide run told second up but it gives him an ideal fitness base to resume his winning ways. There’s plenty of reasons to be wary of MUSHAIREB in this field. Stablemate and fellow three-year-old CLOAK is yet to measure up in the city but he looks as ready as ever bouncing off an all-the-way Hawkesbury win. The Richard Freedman stable has a habit of unlocking the potential in horses who appear to have had a few issues. PRIMITIVO was a first up winner last prep before a couple of throws at the stumps didn’t work out in Melbourne, three recent trials should have him prepared for this.

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